When it comes to improving the lives of patients with chronic illnesses like type-2 diabetes and heart disease, the pharmaceutical industry is playing an ever smaller role.  New blockbuster drugs are the lifeblood of pharmaceutical companies.  Traditionally, they spend significant advertising dollars to create consumer awareness with the goal of influencing drug choices.  But when it comes to innovation for major chronic conditions like type 2 diabetes and heart disease, pharma companies need a lifeline.

The innovation pipeline is weak

There’s nothing really new coming down the pharma pipeline for diabetes or heart disease – I mean really NEW.  Sure, there are some combination therapies and long-acting injectables that have proven effective, but looking at the big picture, over the next 5-10 years, only 4% of drugs in the pipeline are for diabetes, and the likelihood of them getting to market is slimmer than slim.  The scenario is similar for heart disease.

So where’s the opportunity for innovation?  Who’s driving it?

There are plenty of opportunities for pharmaceutical and biotech companies, among other healthcare entities like payers and the government, to invest in finding solutions for managing chronic conditions and improving adherence instead of focusing on drug development.

Diabetes and heart disease are like the canary in the coal mine.  They are the signal of what needs to change for a lot of chronic conditions.  They are a signal of the end of the “just take a pill” era.  What’s driving this is the lack of innovation in the pipeline.

The future of innovation in diabetes and heart failure is not in new mechanisms of action.   The medication available for type 2 diabetes has been proven and the medicine is so cheap, it is almost free.  At this point, let’s focus on getting people to actually TAKE their medicine, vs. worrying about creating new medicines requiring big investments that have diminishing returns.

I can see a future where payers, even government themselves, play a larger role, especially with all the veterans and baby boomers on government health insurance. I can see a future where payers and government are saying to pharma, enough already with the me-too drugs and combination therapies.  Unless there is something that’s REALLY new, we are not interested.

Innovation will not be coming from the drugs themselves, but from other methods that strive to improve patient outcomes.  Clinical evidence and combination therapies will have minimal impact on improving treatment, but finding solutions to improve adherence is where the bigger opportunities are in these disease areas.

Digital’s role in medication adherence

Payers are going to be pushing for more than a pharmaceutical solution and will look to the tech challenge to improve medication adherence.  In fact, multiple clinical studies show that text messaging improves medication adherence in chronic disease, including a recent meta-analysis published in JAMA.  Typically, this type of research is initiated by hospitals and universities, not pharma companies.

Digital health solutions through mobile apps and devices are on the rise and becoming more accepted and embraced among consumers and physicians.  Especially in the diabetes space.  They empower patients to take control of their disease and help them stay in regular contact with their doctors.  Managing heart disease has been more of a tech challenge, most likely because the older population is not as comfortable using mobile devices.

Between heart failure and diabetes, over 40 million people are impacted.  If you don’t adhere to your basic medications and make some lifestyle adjustments, you are going to cost the system a lot of money. There will be more of a focus on helping people stick to a better lifestyle and take their medicine on a regular basis.  That alone will save inordinate amounts of money for the overall healthcare system and will drive a trend that puts the pharma companies in the back seat and the payer community in charge of treating patients with chronic diseases.

Using NLP Data to Classify Patient Segments in Clinical Trial Data

One of the most common and powerful approaches in NLP provides the content experts an opportunity to label each data segment for a portion of the dataset and then analyze these labels to apply to the rest of the dataset. Some key questions need to be answered when...

Keeping up with the Pharmaceutical Industry in Asia

Keeping up with the pharmaceutical landscape around the world, especially in Asia, is essential in today’s market. Here are some of the biggest news stories emerging from Asian countries that are making big strides in drug development. China: Recently, China has been...

Letting the Data Tell the Story

In our previous post we described the technique for assigning categories to data, based on input from content experts within a “training database”.  This technique is effective for summarizing large, text-heavy data into specific categories for summaries and improved...

ELI LILLY in the Diabetes Market

For years, Eli Lilly’s main contributions to the Diabetes market were their insulins: fast-acting analog Humalog® and human insulin Humalin and two premix offerings in analog Humalog® Mix 50/50 and human premix Humalin 75/25. Despite a legacy category, this portfolio...

Novo Nordisk Diabetes Pipeline Analysis

Novo Nordisk remains a top player in the Diabetes market with blockbuster insulins NovoLog®  and Levemir® which brought in a combined almost $3.5 billion in 20166, Victoza® a GLP-1 that brought in $2.1 billion in 20166, and recently launched Basal insulin/GLP-1...

Merck Diabetes Pipeline Analysis

Merck’s two blockbuster diabetes products, Janumet® and Januvia®, are DPP-4 inhibitors that generated nearly $3.3 billion in Sales in 2016.3 Januvia® is especially known for its great cardiovascular safety profile, which has helped differentiate itself in its class....

New Faces in Big Pharma & the Rise of the Billion Dollar Deal

M&A mania is here. Unprecedented deal values for mergers and acquisitions dominated in 2014.  Worldwide M&A was up 47% since 2013 with 95 deals valued greater than $5 billion, as reported by Reuters. Most deals were transacted in the energy,...

Pharma Forecasting Case Study – Valuing the Impact of Development Delays

A multinational pharmaceutical firm asked Ozmosi to provide forecasts to assess the market impact of delays in delivering new formulation and packaging for an existing product. A planned reformulation seen as necessary to preserving market share had been delayed for...

What do the big players have in store for the Diabetes market in the next 12 months?

Diabetes is one of the most prevalent diseases in the U.S., afflicting over 29 million people across Type 1 and Type 2 patients, according to the CDC1 and represents over a $50 billion dollar industry2. Pharmaceutical companies are constantly racing to create the next...

Covid-19 Clinical Trials and Where to Get Treated Update

Here is a quick update on the ever-evolving world of COVID-19 trials.  Since our initial posting on this topic three weeks ago, the number of trials has grown from 100 to over 300. The number of clinical facilities with clinical trials for COVID-19 has grown from 160...